Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.035298 0.041091 0.047533 0.055228 0.064169 0.074236 0.086434
2025-11-16 0.025853 0.033305 0.042455 0.054518 0.070016 0.089273 0.115054
2025-11-23 0.020348 0.028322 0.038882 0.053898 0.074723 0.102628 0.142947
2025-11-30 0.017198 0.025505 0.037211 0.054919 0.081071 0.118350 0.175693
2025-12-07 0.014483 0.022686 0.034880 0.054341 0.084681 0.130300 0.204370
2025-12-14 0.012200 0.020063 0.032324 0.052844 0.086419 0.139360 0.229560
2025-12-21 0.010390 0.017862 0.030028 0.051291 0.087646 0.147505 0.254067
2025-12-28 0.009390 0.016818 0.029406 0.052309 0.093091 0.162981 0.292556
2026-01-04 0.008427 0.015682 0.028446 0.052554 0.097143 0.176465 0.329217
2026-01-11 0.007592 0.014646 0.027500 0.052652 0.100863 0.189702 0.367005
2026-01-18 0.006963 0.013898 0.026966 0.053404 0.105830 0.205712 0.411928
2026-01-25 0.006486 0.013376 0.026776 0.054764 0.112087 0.224825 0.465236
2026-02-01 0.005696 0.012132 0.025053 0.052910 0.111827 0.231424 0.494802
2026-02-08 0.005171 0.011365 0.024189 0.052703 0.114927 0.245180 0.541149
2026-02-15 0.004683 0.010609 0.023247 0.052196 0.117300 0.257681 0.586434
2026-02-22 0.004379 0.010215 0.023020 0.053204 0.123086 0.278137 0.651966
2026-03-01 0.003987 0.009567 0.022151 0.052648 0.125260 0.290874 0.701557
2026-03-08 0.003577 0.008821 0.020966 0.051198 0.125161 0.298420 0.739912
2026-03-15 0.003211 0.008130 0.019822 0.049694 0.124724 0.305095 0.777013
2026-03-22 0.003034 0.007884 0.019705 0.050680 0.130504 0.327305 0.855640
2026-03-29 0.002831 0.007542 0.019311 0.050918 0.134428 0.345436 0.926291
2026-04-05 0.002638 0.007204 0.018883 0.051012 0.137995 0.363101 0.998094
2026-04-12 0.002494 0.006974 0.018704 0.051742 0.143334 0.385977 1.086981